G4 what?
The G4S story was all over the headlines at the beginning of
the week, but had faded out almost completely by the weekend. The media had
moved on to looking for other potential Olympic disaster stories. Watch out for
reports of missing toilets rolls and any other minor shortcomings which the
British press will project as a national disgrace that we are somehow all to
blame for.
However a question occurred to me about the G4S debacle
which I thought worth exploring. That question is did G4S think it was
contracted to provide security guards for the Olympics or did it think it was
contracted to provide security?
It is still not clear exactly why G4S failed so badly. However there are two factors that appear significant. First following a review
of the security requirements by the government they significantly increased the
number of security personnel they required from G4S. This was the security
requirements driving the numbers of guards to be recruited. Thereafter the
recruitment process became entangled in the training process which could not
train recruits in sufficient numbers.
Now you may think this does not matter because, at the end of the
day G4S failed to recruit enough security staff which means they would not
deliver on the security requirements either. However I think it is significant
because it could have affected the way G4S approached delivering the contract.
If the primary driver of its process was the recruitment of security guards
then they would be less likely to anticipate the potential for the need to
increase numbers nor the implications of the training that would be required.
I have seen many instances of failure to deliver caused by a
supplier not fully understanding what it is the customer really wants as
opposed to what it seems they have requested. I would not be surprised if this
turns out to be the route cause of G4S failure on their Olympics contract.
Eurozone – the beginning of the end?
A few weeks back I wrote about how none of us could predict
what was going to happen in the Eurozone but that the signs were that something
was going to happen and it might happen soon. Curiously since then not a lot
has happened and there has been very little coverage in the media, until
towards the end of last week.
Last week Eurozone finance ministers unanimously approved
€100bn bailout for Spain ’s
banks. In spite of this Madrid ’s
10 year bond yield jumped back above 7pc and yields on short term debt are now
a fifth higher than 6 weeks ago. The Spanish government introduced austerity
measures that are much tougher than the Spanish Prime Minister claimed would be
required when the loan agreement was announced. This pattern follows that of Greece , Ireland
and Portugal so brings Spain close to
the point of needing a full scale sovereign bailout. The Eurozone could rescue Spain but the next in line Italy , is just
too big. Last week 10 year yields on Italian bonds climbed sharply, peaking at
above 6pc and Sicily
became the first Italian region to appeal for government help to prop up its
finances.
The Eurozone is fast running out of workable and politically
feasible options for saving the Euro. “Fiscal union”, which is the only option
really likely to work, is simply not going to happen whatever the IMF says, so
that leaves the breakup of the Euro as the increasingly likely outcome. By
simultaneously sending their governments on holiday they have ensured that
nothing can be decided and therefore nothing can happen (they hope) until the
autumn. However we are probably about 3 months away from the “beginning of the
end” for the Euro.
Some of the way with UKBA
The proposed strike during the Olympics by UK Border Agency
staff has been condemned almost unanimously as everything from unpatriotic to
opportunistic. Despite only 10% of staff voting for action the PCS union is to
press ahead with the walkout.
Whilst I share the general disapproval I do have some
sympathy with the front line staff involved. The standard of leadership in UKBA
is so bad that if I had to work there I would be sufficiently hacked off by now
to want to take it out on someone. It is not only rubbish in UKBA itself but it
is compounded at the political level by Theresa May the home secretary who
continues to flounder. The coalition only seems ready to accept removing a
minister from their job if they have been involved in something underhand.
Incompetence and failure it seems is not a reason to move a minister to
where they can do less damage.
Solid Wood
On a more cheerful note and talking of leadership, best
wishes to Sir Ian Wood who has retired as Chairman of Wood Group after 48 years
with the company. During this time he has guided the company to become a global
energy services group employing over 41,000 people in 50 countries. A great
example of growing a successful business through engineering, rather than
financial engineering.
With Sir Ian stepping down there is some speculation that
the company could now become a bid target. No one could blame Sir Ian and the
Wood family who still own s substantial share of the business from thinking
about realising at least some of the value of this shareholding. However I hope
that if the company is sold that the new owners will recognise the skills and
culture of the people in the business that have been crucial to its success and
build on this. It would be a great shame if the value created by Sir Ian and
his team were be squandered as a consequence of a change of ownership.
So that was some of the week before this week. We hope you found some of the above thought provoking and useful for you and your business. We trust you had a good weekend and hope you have a great week this week.
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